the turing test the elusive standard of artificial intelligence download

For example, in our Tech Trends 2014 report, we collaborated with faculty at Singularity University, a leading research institution, to explore robotics and additive manufacturing. Though exponential initiatives may require leaps of faith and longer-term commitments, they can potentially deliver transformative outcomes. Now is the time to begin constructing an exponentials innovation environment in which, as Johnson says, “ideas can connect.”Īt present, many enterprises lack the structures, capabilities, and processes required to innovate effectively in the face of exponential change-a reality that carries some risk. As you begin exploring exponential forces, keep in mind that even though they may appear small on the horizon, you should not assume you have three to five years to put a plan together and get started. Others could manifest more quickly even AGI and quantum encryption are showing breadcrumbs of progress that may lead to breakthroughs in the nearer time horizon. For example, artificial general intelligence (AGI) and quantum encryption, which we examine later in this chapter, fall into the 5+ category. With some exponentials, the time horizon may extend far beyond five years before manifesting broadly in business and government. These are emerging technology forces that we think could manifest in a “horizon 3 to 5” timeframe-between 36 and 60 months. Unlike many of the emerging tools and systems examined in this report-which demonstrate clear potential for impacting businesses in the next 18 to 24 months-exponentials can appear a bit smaller on the horizon. With exponential technologies, the challenge becomes more daunting. Where should we focus our innovation efforts? How can we develop breakthrough innovations that will set our business up for success in the future while delivering for the quarter? How can we turn our haphazard, episodic innovation efforts into methodical, productive processes? Without a clear destination, some executives can become unsure and frustrated. The process of innovating is, by definition, a hopeful journey into new landscapes. In a business and technology climate where the ability to innovate has become critical to survival, many companies still struggle to create the disciplined, innovation-nurturing environments that Johnson describes.

Science author Steven Johnson once observed that “innovation doesn’t come just from giving people incentives it comes from creating environments where their ideas can connect.” 1

The turing test the elusive standard of artificial intelligence download